Learning the underlying casual structure, represented by Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs), of concerned events from fully-observational data is a crucial part of causal reasoning, but it is challenging due to the combinatorial and large search space. A recent flurry of developments recast this combinatorial problem into a continuous optimization problem by leveraging an algebraic equality characterization of acyclicity. However, these methods suffer from the fixed-threshold step after optimization, which is not a flexible and systematic way to rule out the cycle-inducing edges or false discoveries edges with small values caused by numerical precision. In this paper, we develop a data-driven DAG structure learning method without the predefined threshold, called adaptive NOTEARS [30], achieved by applying adaptive penalty levels to each parameters in the regularization term. We show that adaptive NOTEARS enjoys the oracle properties under some specific conditions. Furthermore, simulation experimental results validate the effectiveness of our method, without setting any gap of edges weights around zero.
翻译:以定向环绕图(DAGs)为代表,从完全观察的数据中学习相关事件的基本临时结构是因果推理的一个关键部分,但由于组合空间和大型搜索空间,这是具有挑战性的。最近一阵子的发展动态将这一组合问题重新转化为一个连续优化问题,利用对环绕特性的代数平等特征的杠杆化特征。然而,这些方法受到优化后固定阈值步骤的影响,这不是一种灵活和系统的方式来排除循环引导边缘或由数字精确度导致的数值小的虚假发现边缘。在本文中,我们开发了一种数据驱动的DAG结构学习方法,没有预先确定的阈值,称为适应性ONSARS[30],通过对正规化期的每项参数适用适应性处罚等级而实现。我们表明,适应性ONSARS在某些特定条件下享有甲骨骼特性。此外,模拟实验结果验证了我们的方法的有效性,没有将边缘重量的距离设定在零左右。