In this article, we study a robust estimation method for a general class of integer-valued time series models. The conditional distribution of the process belongs to a broad class of distribution and unlike classical autoregressive framework, the conditional mean of the process also depends on some multivariate exogenous covariate. We derive a robust inference procedure based on the minimum density power divergence. Under certain regularity conditions, we establish that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Simulation experiments are conducted to illustrate the empirical performances of the estimator. An application to the number of transactions per minute for the stock Ericsson B is also provided.
翻译:在本篇文章中,我们研究了对整数估计时间序列模型一般类别的可靠估计方法。该过程的有条件分布属于广泛的分布类别,与传统的自动递减框架不同,该过程的有条件平均值也取决于某些多变量外源共变体。我们根据最小密度功率差异得出了有力的推论程序。在某些正常条件下,我们确定拟议的估计数字是一致的,并且是非即时正常的。进行了模拟试验,以说明估量器的经验性能。还提供了对股价Ericsson B 每分钟交易次数的应用。