In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has wide applicability in several areas including hydrology, engineering, science, ecology and finance. However, the GEV distribution is not suitable to model extreme bimodal data. In this paper, we propose an extension of the GEV distribution that incorporate an additional parameter. The additional parameter introduces bimodality and to vary tail weight, i.e., this proposed extension is more flexible than the GEV distribution. Inference for the proposed distribution were performed under the likelihood paradigm. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to evaluate the performances of these estimators in finite samples with a discussion of the results. Finally, the proposed distribution is applied to environmental data sets, illustrating their capabilities in challenging cases in extreme value theory.
翻译:在极端价值理论中,对于足够大的区块大小,最大值分布与普遍极端值分布相近。GEV分布是一个连续概率分布的组合,在水文、工程、科学、生态和金融等若干领域广泛适用。然而,GEV分布不适合模拟极端双模式数据。我们在本文件中提议扩大包含额外参数的GEV分布范围。附加参数引入双向性,并改变尾部重量,即,提议的扩展比GEV分布更为灵活。提议的分配的推论是在可能性范式下进行的。Monte Carlo实验是为了评估这些定点样本中估算员的性能,并讨论结果。最后,拟议的分配适用于环境数据集,说明其在极值理论中具有挑战性的案例的能力。