The general problem of constructing confidence regions is unsolved in the sense that there is no algorithm that provides such a region with guaranteed coverage for an arbitrary parameter $\psi\in\Psi.$ Moreover, even when such a region exists, it may be absurd in the sense that either the set $\Psi$ or the null set $\phi$ is reported with positive probability. An approach to the construction of such regions with guaranteed coverage and which avoids absurdity is applied here to several problems that have been discussed in the recent literature and for which some standard approaches produce absurd regions.
翻译:建立信任区域的一般问题尚未解决,因为没有一种算法为这样一个区域提供保证覆盖任意参数$\psi\in\psi.$。 此外,即使存在这样一个区域,也可能是荒谬的,因为报告的设定值$\Psi$或零设定值$phi$是肯定的概率。