Trajectory prediction is a critical part of many AI applications, for example, the safe operation of autonomous vehicles. However, current methods are prone to making inconsistent and physically unrealistic predictions. We leverage insights from fluid dynamics to overcome this limitation by considering internal symmetry in real-world trajectories. We propose a novel model, Equivariant Continous COnvolution (ECCO) for improved trajectory prediction. ECCO uses rotationally-equivariant continuous convolutions to embed the symmetries of the system. On both vehicle and pedestrian trajectory datasets, ECCO attains competitive accuracy with significantly fewer parameters. It is also more sample efficient, generalizing automatically from few data points in any orientation. Lastly, ECCO improves generalization with equivariance, resulting in more physically consistent predictions. Our method provides a fresh perspective towards increasing trust and transparency in deep learning models.
翻译:轨迹预测是许多AI应用的关键部分,例如,自主车辆的安全运行。但是,目前的方法容易造成前后不一致和物理上不现实的预测。我们通过考虑真实世界轨迹的内部对称,利用流体动态的洞察力克服这一限制。我们提出了一个新颖的模式,即Equivariant Conculation(ECCO),以改进轨迹预测。ECCO使用旋转-equivarial 连续演变来嵌入系统的对称。在车辆和行人轨迹数据集中,ECCO都以大大更少的参数获得竞争性准确性。它也比较高效,从任何方向的少数数据点中自动地普及。最后,ECCO改进了以等同方式的概括性,从而导致更实际一致的预测。我们的方法为增加深层次学习模型的信任和透明度提供了新的视角。