We study the classical discursive dilemma from the point of view of finding the best decision rule according to a quantitative criterion, under very mild restrictions on the set of admissible rules. The members of the deciding committee are assumed to have a certain probability to assess correctly the truth or falsity of the premisses, and the best rule is the one that minimises a combination of the probabilities of false positives and false negatives on the conclusion.
翻译:我们从根据量化标准找到最佳决定规则的角度,在对一套可受理规则的非常温和的限制下,研究典型的非对立两难问题。 认定决策委员会成员有一定的可能性正确评估预设问题的真相或虚假,而最佳规则是尽可能减少虚假肯定和虚假否定结论的可能性的结合。