This work presents a novel regularization method for the identification of Nonlinear Autoregressive eXogenous (NARX) models. The regularization method promotes the exponential decay of the influence of past input samples on the current model output. This is done by penalizing the sensitivity of the NARX model simulated output with respect to the past inputs. This promotes the stability of the estimated models and improves the obtained model quality. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated through a simulation example, where a neural network NARX model is identified with this novel method. Moreover, it is shown that the proposed regularization approach improves the model accuracy in terms of simulation error performance compared to that of other regularization methods and model classes.
翻译:这项工作为确定非线性自动递减 eXgenous (NARX) 模型提供了一种新的正规化方法。正规化方法促进了过去输入样本对当前模型输出的影响的指数衰减。通过惩罚NARX模型模拟输出对过去输入的敏感度来做到这一点。这促进了估计模型的稳定性并改进了获得的模型质量。该方法的有效性通过模拟实例得到证明,在模拟实例中确定了神经网络NARX 模型。此外,还表明拟议的正规化方法提高了模拟错误性能模型与其他正规化方法和模型类别相比的准确性。