To make inferences about the shape of a population distribution, the widely popular mean regression model, for example, is inadequate if the distribution is not approximately Gaussian (or symmetric). Compared to conventional mean regression (MR), quantile regression (QR) can characterize the entire conditional distribution of the outcome variable, and is more robust to outliers and misspecification of the error distribution. We present a likelihood-based approach to the estimation of the regression quantiles based on the asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD), which has a hierarchical representation that facilitates the implementation of the EM algorithm for the maximum-likelihood estimation. We develop a case-deletion diagnostic analysis for QR models based on the conditional expectation of the complete-data log-likelihood function related to the EM algorithm. The techniques are illustrated with both simulated and real data sets, showing that our approach out-performed other common classic estimators. The proposed algorithm and methods are implemented in the R package ALDqr().
翻译:例如,对于人口分布的形状作出推论,如果分布不是大约高斯(或对称),那么广泛流行的平均回归模型是不够的。与常规平均回归(MR)相比,四分回归(QR)可以描述结果变量的整个有条件分布,对于差值分布的外端和错误分布的偏差更有力。我们提出了一个基于不对称拉比分布(ALD)的回归量化估算可能性法,该分布法具有等级代表制,有利于实施最大相似性估计的EM算法。我们根据与EM算法有关的完整数据日志相似功能的有条件期望,为QR模型开发了案例研究诊断分析。这些技术用模拟数据集和真实数据集加以说明,显示我们的方法优于其他常见的经典估量器。拟议的算法和方法在R 包 ALDqr () 中实施。