Neither artificial intelligence designed to play Turing's imitation game, nor augmented intelligence built to maximize the human manipulation of information are tuned to accelerate innovation and improve humanity's collective advance against its greatest challenges. We reconceptualize and pilot beneficial AI to radically augment human understanding by complementing rather than competing with human cognitive capacity. Our approach to complementary intelligence builds on insights underlying the wisdom of crowds, which hinges on the independence and diversity of crowd members' information and approach. By programmatically incorporating information on the evolving distribution of scientific expertise from research papers, our approach follows the distribution of content in the literature while avoiding the scientific crowd and the hypotheses cognitively available to it. We use this approach to generate valuable predictions for what materials possess valuable energy-related properties (e.g., thermoelectricity), and what compounds possess valuable medical properties (e.g., asthma) that complement the human scientific crowd. We demonstrate that our complementary predictions, if identified by human scientists and inventors at all, are only discovered years further into the future. When we evaluate the promise of our predictions with first-principles equations, we demonstrate that increased complementarity of our predictions does not decrease and in some cases increases the probability that the predictions possess the targeted properties. In summary, by tuning AI to avoid the crowd, we can generate hypotheses unlikely to be imagined or pursued until the distant future and promise to punctuate scientific advance. By identifying and correcting for collective human bias, these models also suggest opportunities to improve human prediction by reformulating science education for discovery.
翻译:无论是旨在玩图灵模仿游戏的人工智能,还是为尽量扩大人类对信息的操纵而增加的智能,都是为了加速创新,改进人类集体进步,以应对其最大挑战。我们重新构思和试点有益的AI,通过补充而不是与人类认知能力竞争,从根本上增进人类的理解。我们互补的智能方法基于人群智慧的洞察力,这取决于人群信息和方法的独立性和多样性。我们的方法通过从方案上纳入研究论文中科学专门知识不断演变的分布信息,遵循文学内容的传播,同时避免科学人群和人类认知上可得到的假设。我们利用这种方法对拥有与能源相关的宝贵特性的材料(例如,热电)进行有价值的预测并进行试点,以便从根本上增进人类认知能力;我们证明我们的互补预测,如果被人类科学家和发明者所识别,则只能在未来几年内进一步发现。当我们用第一个原则的方程式来评估我们预测的希望时,我们通过这种方法,我们通过利用这一方法来为具有宝贵的能源相关特性的材料(例如热电热度)和化合物拥有宝贵的医学特性(例如哮喘)来补充人类科学特性。我们所追求的预测的概率,而不是通过对未来进行精确的预测的概率的概率的预测,我们可以提高人类的概率,直到我们所追求的预测,我们所追求的概率的概率的概率的概率,从而不至于对未来。