Accurately forecasting the weather is an important task, as many real-world processes and decisions depend on future meteorological conditions. The NeurIPS 2022 challenge entitled Weather4cast poses the problem of predicting rainfall events for the next eight hours given the preceding hour of satellite observations as a context. Motivated by the recent success of transformer-based architectures in computer vision, we implement and propose two methodologies based on this architecture to tackle this challenge. We find that ensembling different transformers with some baseline models achieves the best performance we could measure on the unseen test data. Our approach has been ranked 3rd in the competition.
翻译:准确预测天气是一项重要任务,因为许多现实世界的进程和决定取决于未来的气象条件。2022年的NeurIPS 挑战题为“天气4cast ”,根据卫星观测前一小时作为背景对未来8小时的降雨量作出预测的问题。受基于变压器的计算机愿景结构最近取得成功的驱动,我们实施并提出了基于这一结构的两种方法来应对这一挑战。我们发现,将不同变压器和一些基线模型结合在一起,就能取得我们能够测量的无法见的测试数据的最佳性能。我们的方法在竞争中名列第三。