我国海岛经济体脆弱性评价、时空演变及优化调控研究：以山东省长岛县为例

项目名称： 我国海岛经济体脆弱性评价、时空演变及优化调控研究：以山东省长岛县为例

项目编号： No.41501129

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2016

项目学科： 天文学、地球科学

项目作者： 秦伟山

作者单位： 鲁东大学

项目金额： 20万元

中文摘要： 针对当前海岛经济体脆弱性研究中的不足，本项目拟从“人文—经济地理学”的角度出发，以海岛经济体脆弱性研究为主线，以海岛脆弱性综合评价、时空演变及其优化调控为研究重点。综合3S技术、数学建模、专家咨询、实地调研访谈等主要研究手段，拟开展以下研究内容：（1）厘清海岛经济体脆弱性概念、构成和影响因素；（2）综合资源、环境、经济、社会和生态脆弱性五个方面构建海岛经济体脆弱性测度评价指标体系和综合测度模型；（3）以长岛县为研究对象，评价其脆弱性的时空演变，并分析长岛县海岛经济体脆弱性发生机理及其作用机制；（4）综合脆弱性评价结果和历史数据从资源系统、生态环境系统和社会经济系统三个方面分析海岛脆弱性对于长岛县海岛经济体发展的慢性沉积效应，并提出长岛县海岛经济优化调控的路径。本研究对相关部门宏观调控海岛经济发展、制定海岛开发与保护政策、促进海岛经济转型发展和可持续发展具有一定的理论参考意义与现实应用价值。

中文关键词： 海岛经济体；脆弱性评价；时空演变；优化调控；区域政策

英文摘要： Based on the insufficient of the current study of island economy vulnerability, we take the perspective of human - economic geography, and stick to the main line of the research of island economies vulnerability. In our study, we will take the vulnerability evaluation, temporal and spatial evolution and its optimizing control as the research focus.. Integrated with 3S technology, mathematical modeling, experts consultation, field interviews and other research methods, the following research contents will be carried out: (1) to clarify vulnerability concept, composition and influencing factors of the island economies; (2) Build the comprehensive evaluation index system and measure model including resources, environment, economy, social and ecological fragility (3) Take Changdao County as the research object, evaluate the temporal and spatial evolution of its vulnerability, and analysis the mechanism of action of Changdao County;(4) Comprehensive vulnerability evaluation results and historical data from the resource system, we analysis the chronic sedimentary effect of the vulnerability of Changdao County island economy from resource system, ecological environment system and social economy system. And then, the optimizing control paths of Changdao County island economy were put forward. . This study will be very useful for the macro-control of the development of island economy to relevant government departments. And have a certain theoretical reference and practical application value to the formulation of island development and protection policy, and promotion of transformation and sustainable development of island economy.

英文关键词： island economies;vulnerability assessment;spatio-temporal evolution;ptimized regulation;regional policy