需求冲击、R&D周期性的产业非对称效应与企业自主技术创新能力提升战略研究

项目名称： 需求冲击、R&D周期性的产业非对称效应与企业自主技术创新能力提升战略研究

项目编号： No.71273062

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 殷醒民

作者单位： 复旦大学

项目金额： 54万元

中文摘要： 走中国特色自主创新道路，就需要理清两方面的关系：一是技术创新与经济增长的关系，创新型国家战略明确了要依靠科技力量来加快转变经济发展方式。二是市场条件与创新效率的关系，仅仅增加国家科技资源投入并不一定能够形成和提升自主技术创新能力，需求波动对企业R&D投入量与技术创新方向的作用更大。对前一问题的研究已经非常深入了，后一问题尚未进行系统化的理论和经验研究。本课题将运用需求冲击、R&D周期性的非对称效应的相关理论来揭示不同产业和不同企业R&D投资行为与绩效之间的关系。课题利用1997-2011年制造业、高技术产业面板数据和长三角高技术企业数据来检验R&D投资周期性理论的相关假设；对形成R&D周期性的产业非对称效应的关键因素进行定量化分解，可能的解释是企业R&D投资增加与销售增长有关，而减少则与融资约束相联；探索逆周期的财政政策支持企业R&D活动以提高国家和企业资源融合效应的体系特征。

中文关键词： 需求冲击；非对称性效应；研究与开发；双重资本深化；周期性

英文摘要： This study explores the link between short-run cycles and long-run growth by examining the cyclicality of R&D and asymmetrical effects on different industries. It is necessary to distinguish the two links of innovation and economic growth in China: First, the strategy has emphasized the role of science and technology which can speed up the transformation of growth model towards an innovative nation. Second, there is a clear relationship between demand and innovation. The former issue has been widely and significantly analyzed, and the latter has not been discussed in terms of theoretical and empirical works. The main research topic in this program will be as follows: 1. our study will, using an annual panel data of China's manufacturing industries, high-tech industries and high-tech firms in Yangtze River Delta from 1997 to 2011, estimate the respected hypothesis and provide the explanation of the investment behavior across industries and firms with different levels of technology. 2. To disaggregate the key factors in determining the different R&D investment behavior across industries and firms over business cycle, the likelihood of a firm conducting R&D increases with sales growth and decreases with credit constraints. 3. The effects of budgetary policy may have the positive impact on firm's R&D investment beh

英文关键词： Demand shocks；R&D；asymmetric effects；double capital deepening；cyclicality