To improve nonparametric estimates of lifetime distributions, we propose using the increasing odds rate (IOR) model as an alternative to other popular, but more restrictive, ``adverse ageing'' models, such as the increasing hazard rate one. This extends the scope of applicability of some methods for statistical inference under order restrictions, since the IOR model is compatible with heavy-tailed and bathtub distributions. We study a strongly uniformly consistent estimator of the cumulative distribution function of interest under the IOR constraint. Numerical evidence shows that this estimator often outperforms the classic empirical distribution function when the underlying model does belong to the IOR family. We also study two different tests, aimed at detecting deviations from the IOR property, and we establish their consistency. The performance of these tests is also evaluated through simulations.
翻译:为了改进寿命分配的非参数估计,我们建议使用不断上升的概率(IOR)模型,以替代其他流行但更具限制性的“不利于老龄化”模型,例如危险率不断上升的模型。这扩大了某些统计推断方法在按顺序加以限制的情况下的适用范围,因为IOR模型与重尾和浴缸分布相容。我们研究一个非常一致的指数,以估计在IOR限制下利息的累积分布功能。数字证据表明,当基本模型属于IOR家族时,这一估计值往往优于典型的经验分配功能。我们还研究两个不同的测试,旨在发现与IOR财产的偏差,我们确定这些测试的一致性。这些测试的绩效也通过模拟来评估。