In this paper, we propose a novel association measure for longitudinal studies based on the traditional definition of relative risk. In a Markovian fashion, such a proposal takes into account the information content regarding the previous time. We derive its corresponding confidence interval by means of the Delta method having in mind the crude association between factor and event. Also, we study the properties of our uncertainty quantification scheme through an exhaustive simulation study. Our findings show that the coverage probability is quite close to the level of confidence. Finally, our proposal has a reasonable interpretation from the epidemiological as well as the statistical point of view.
翻译:在本文中,我们根据传统的相对风险定义,提出了纵向研究的新的联合措施;以马尔科维亚方式,这种建议考虑到以前的信息内容;我们通过德尔塔方法得出相应的信任间隔,同时考虑到因素和事件之间的粗略联系;我们还通过详尽的模拟研究研究不确定性量化办法的特性;我们的调查结果表明,覆盖面的概率非常接近信任程度;最后,我们的建议从流行病学和统计角度有合理的解释。</s>