As causal inference becomes more widespread the importance of having good tools to test for causal effects increases. In this work we focus on the problem of testing for causal effects that manifest in a difference in distribution for treatment and control. We build on work applying kernel methods to causality, considering the previously introduced Counterfactual Mean Embedding framework (\textsc{CfME}). We improve on this by proposing the \emph{Doubly Robust Counterfactual Mean Embedding} (\textsc{DR-CfME}), which has better theoretical properties than its predecessor by leveraging semiparametric theory. This leads us to propose new kernel based test statistics for distributional effects which are based upon doubly robust estimators of treatment effects. We propose two test statistics, one which is a direct improvement on previous work and one which can be applied even when the support of the treatment arm is a subset of that of the control arm. We demonstrate the validity of our methods on simulated and real-world data, as well as giving an application in off-policy evaluation.
翻译:随着因果关系推论的日益普遍,必须拥有良好的工具来检验因果关系的增加。在这项工作中,我们侧重于检验在治疗和控制分配上出现差异的因果关系问题。我们以对因果关系应用内核方法的工作为基础,考虑到以前采用的反事实中嵌入框架(\ textsc{CfME}),我们通过提出“治疗臂的支持是控制臂的子集”(\ textsc{DR-CfME})来改进这一点。我们通过运用半参数理论,比其前身具有更好的理论属性。这导致我们提出新的基于内核的分布效应测试统计,该统计基于对治疗效果的双重强势估计。我们提出了两项测试统计,其中一项是对先前工作的直接改进,一项统计即使治疗臂的支持是控制臂的子集,也可以适用。我们展示了我们模拟和实际世界数据方法的有效性,并应用了非政策评价。