For estimating the large covariance matrix with a limited sample size, we propose the covariance model with general linear structure (CMGL) by employing the general link function to connect the covariance of the continuous response vector to a linear combination of weight matrices. Without assuming the distribution of responses, and allowing the number of parameters associated with weight matrices to diverge, we obtain the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators (QMLE) of parameters and show their asymptotic properties. In addition, an extended Bayesian information criteria (EBIC) is proposed to select relevant weight matrices, and the consistency of EBIC is demonstrated. Under the identity link function, we introduce the ordinary least squares estimator (OLS) that has the closed form. Hence, its computational burden is reduced compared to QMLE, and the theoretical properties of OLS are also investigated. To assess the adequacy of the link function, we further propose the quasi-likelihood ratio test and obtain its limiting distribution. Simulation studies are presented to assess the performance of the proposed methods, and the usefulness of generalized covariance models is illustrated by an analysis of the US stock market.
翻译:为了估计样本规模有限的大型共变矩阵,我们提议采用通用线性结构的共变模型,采用一般链接功能将连续响应矢量的共变功能与权重矩阵的线性组合联系起来。我们不假定答复的分布,并允许与权重矩阵相关的参数数量出现差异,我们获得参数的准最大概率估计值,并显示其无药性。此外,还提议采用一个扩展的贝叶斯信息标准,以选择相关的权重矩阵,并显示EBIC的一致性。在身份链接功能下,我们引入了具有封闭形式的普通最低正方位估计值(OLS),因此,与QMLE相比,其计算负担有所减轻,还调查了OLS的理论性质。为了评估联系功能的适足性,我们进一步提议了准似利差比率测试,并获得其限制性分布。我们提出了模拟研究,以评估拟议方法的性能,通过分析美国股票市场来说明通用共变模型的实用性。