We study the problem of change-point detection and localisation for functional data sequentially observed on a general d-dimensional space, where we allow the functional curves to be either sparsely or densely sampled. Data of this form naturally arise in a wide range of applications such as biology, neuroscience, climatology, and finance. To achieve such a task, we propose a kernel-based algorithm named functional seeded binary segmentation (FSBS). FSBS is computationally efficient, can handle discretely observed functional data, and is theoretically sound for heavy-tailed and temporally-dependent observations. Moreover, FSBS works for a general d-dimensional domain, which is the first in the literature of change-point estimation for functional data. We show the consistency of FSBS for multiple change-point estimations and further provide a sharp localisation error rate, which reveals an interesting phase transition phenomenon depending on the number of functional curves observed and the sampling frequency for each curve. Extensive numerical experiments illustrate the effectiveness of FSBS and its advantage over existing methods in the literature under various settings. A real data application is further conducted, where FSBS localises change-points of sea surface temperature patterns in the south Pacific attributed to El Nino.
翻译:为了完成这项任务,我们建议采用以内核为基础的算法,名为功能种子二分法(FSBS)。FSBS具有计算效率,能够处理独立观察的功能数据,并且从理论上看,能够进行大量和时间上依赖的观测。此外,FSBS为一般的D维域工作,这是功能数据变化点估计文献中的第一个。我们显示了FSBS对于多点变化点估计的一致性,并进一步提供了精确的本地化误差率,它揭示了一种有趣的阶段过渡现象,取决于观察到的功能曲线数量和每种曲线的取样频率。广泛的数字实验说明了FSBSA的效力及其在各种环境下对现有文献方法的优势。还进一步进行了实际数据应用,因为FSBSS将南海温度归因于南海温度。