This paper is dedicated to a cautious learning methodology for predicting preferences between alternatives characterized by binary attributes (formally, each alternative is seen as a subset of attributes). By "cautious", we mean that the model learned to represent the multi-attribute preferences is general enough to be compatible with any strict weak order on the alternatives, and that we allow ourselves not to predict some preferences if the data collected are not compatible with a reliable prediction. A predicted preference will be considered reliable if all the simplest models (following Occam's razor principle) explaining the training data agree on it. Predictions are based on an ordinal dominance relation between alternatives [Fishburn and LaValle, 1996]. The dominance relation relies on an uncertainty set encompassing the possible values of the parameters of the multi-attribute utility function. Numerical tests are provided to evaluate the richness and the reliability of the predictions made.
翻译:本文专门论述一种谨慎的学习方法,用于预测具有二元属性的替代品之间的偏好(通常,每种替代品都被视为一个属性子集)。我们用“谨慎”一词表示,为代表多种属性的偏好而学习的模式十分笼统,足以与替代品的任何严格的薄弱顺序相容,如果所收集的数据与可靠的预测不兼容,则我们不允许自己预测某些偏好。如果解释培训数据的所有最简单模型(根据奥卡姆的剃刀原则)都同意,预测偏好将被视为可靠。预测是基于替代品[Fishburn和LaValle,1996年]之间的一个正统支配地位关系。支配地位关系依赖于一套不确定性,其中包括多属性实用功能参数的可能值。提供数值测试,以评价所作的预测的丰富性和可靠性。