Artificial intelligence (AI) has a history of nearly a century from its inception to the present day. We have summarized the development trends and discovered universal rules, including both success and failure. We have analyzed the reasons from both technical and philosophical perspectives to help understand the reasons behind the past failures and current successes of AI, and to provide a basis for thinking and exploring future development. Specifically, we have found that the development of AI in different fields, including computer vision, natural language processing, and machine learning, follows a pattern from rules to statistics to data-driven methods. In the face of past failures and current successes, we need to think systematically about the reasons behind them. Given the unity of AI between natural and social sciences, it is necessary to incorporate philosophical thinking to understand and solve AI problems, and we believe that starting from the dialectical method of Marx is a feasible path. We have concluded that the sustainable development direction of AI should be human-machine collaboration and a technology path centered on computing power. Finally, we have summarized the impact of AI on society from this trend.
翻译:人工智能(AI)从诞生到今天已有近一个世纪的历史。我们总结了发展趋势,发现了普遍规则,包括成功和失败。我们从技术和哲学角度分析了原因,以帮助理解过去失败和目前AI成功的原因,并为思考和探索未来发展提供了基础。具体地说,我们发现,人工智能在不同领域的发展,包括计算机愿景、自然语言处理和机器学习,遵循从规则到统计的模式,直到数据驱动的方法。面对过去的失败和目前的成功,我们需要系统地思考它们背后的原因。鉴于人工智能在自然科学和社会科学之间的统一,有必要纳入哲学思维,以理解和解决AI问题,我们认为,从马克斯的辩证方法开始,是一种可行的途径。我们的结论是,人工智能的可持续发展方向应该是人类机器合作和以计算机能力为中心的技术路径。最后,我们总结了人工智能从这一趋势对社会的影响。</s>