Estimation of spatially-varying parameters for computationally expensive forward models governed by partial differential equations is addressed. A novel multiscale Bayesian inference approach is introduced based on deep probabilistic generative models. Such generative models provide a flexible representation by inferring on each scale a low-dimensional latent encoding while allowing hierarchical parameter generation from coarse- to fine-scales. Combining the multiscale generative model with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), inference across scales is achieved enabling us to efficiently obtain posterior parameter samples at various scales. The estimation of coarse-scale parameters using a low-dimensional latent embedding captures global and notable parameter features using an inexpensive but inaccurate solver. MCMC sampling of the fine-scale parameters is enabled by utilizing the posterior information in the immediate coarser-scale. In this way, the global features are identified in the coarse-scale with inference of low-dimensional variables and inexpensive forward computation, and the local features are refined and corrected in the fine-scale. The developed method is demonstrated with two types of permeability estimation for flow in heterogeneous media. One is a Gaussian random field (GRF) with uncertain length scales, and the other is channelized permeability with the two regions defined by different GRFs. The obtained results indicate that the method allows high-dimensional parameter estimation while exhibiting stability, efficiency and accuracy.
翻译:对计算由部分差异方程管理的昂贵远方模型的空间变化参数进行估计,将部分差异方程所支配的计算昂贵远方模型的空间变化参数进行估计; 采用基于深深的概率概率变化模型,采用新颖的多尺度贝ysian推导法,这种基因化模型通过在每个尺度上推断低维潜伏编码提供了灵活的表示,同时允许从粗到微尺度的等级参数生成低维潜伏编码,同时允许从粗到微尺度的等级参数生成; 与Markov Call Call Monte Colo(MCMC)相结合,实现跨尺度的多尺度变异模型的推论,使我们能够在不同尺度上有效获取后继参数样本; 采用低维潜潜嵌低潜嵌法来估计全球和显著参数特征; 使用廉价但不精确的解算法来估计精度参数,从而能够灵活地显示精度参数的精确度参数; 利用近粗度的底值生成的远方位图,MCMCC取样的精度参数取样显示两种类型的渗透性参数; 以高频度的GRRF为不同比例,以不同区域为比例,通过随机的实地测测测测测测测测算。