In recent years, machine learning and AI have been introduced in many industrial fields. In fields such as finance, medicine, and autonomous driving, where the inference results of a model may have serious consequences, high interpretability as well as prediction accuracy is required. In this study, we propose CGA2M+, which is based on the Generalized Additive 2 Model (GA2M) and differs from it in two major ways. The first is the introduction of monotonicity. Imposing monotonicity on some functions based on an analyst's knowledge is expected to improve not only interpretability but also generalization performance. The second is the introduction of a higher-order term: given that GA2M considers only second-order interactions, we aim to balance interpretability and prediction accuracy by introducing a higher-order term that can capture higher-order interactions. In this way, we can improve prediction performance without compromising interpretability by applying learning innovation. Numerical experiments showed that the proposed model has high predictive performance and interpretability. Furthermore, we confirmed that generalization performance is improved by introducing monotonicity.
翻译:近年来,许多工业领域引入了机器学习和AI,在金融、医学和自主驾驶等领域,模型的推论结果可能带来严重后果,需要高可解释性和预测准确性。在本研究中,我们提议CGA2M+,它以通用Additive 2 模型(GA2M)为基础,主要有两种不同方式。第一是引入单调性。根据分析师的知识对某些功能强加单调性,预期不仅会改进可解释性,而且会改进一般化性能。第二是引入一个更高级的术语:鉴于GA2M只考虑二阶相互作用,我们的目标是通过引入能够捕捉更高级相互作用的更高级术语来平衡解释性和预测准确性。这样,我们可以通过应用学习创新来改进预测性,但不会损害可解释性。数量实验表明,拟议的模型具有高的预测性能和可解释性。此外,我们确认通过引入单阶性来改进一般化性能。