Adjoint-Free 4D-Var Methods Via Line Search Optimization For Non-Linear Data Assimilation

This paper proposes two practical implementations of Four-Dimensional Variational (4D-Var) Ensemble Kalman Filter (4D-EnKF) methods for non-linear data assimilation. Our formulations' main idea is to avoid the intrinsic need for adjoint models in the context of 4D-Var optimization and, even more, to handle non-linear observation operators during the assimilation of observations. The proposed methods work as follows: snapshots of an ensemble of model realizations are taken at observation times, these snapshots are employed to build control spaces onto which analysis increments can be estimated. Via the linearization of observation operators at observation times, a line-search based optimization method is proposed to estimate optimal analysis increments. The convergence of this method is theoretically proven as long as the dimension of control-spaces equals model one. In the first formulation, control spaces are given by full-rank square root approximations of background error covariance matrices via the Bickel and Levina precision matrix estimator. In this context, we propose an iterative Woodbury matrix formula to perform the optimization steps efficiently. The last formulation can be considered as an extension of the Maximum Likelihood Ensemble Filter to the 4D-Var context. This employs pseudo-square root approximations of prior error covariance matrices to build control spaces. Experimental tests are performed by using the Lorenz 96 model. The results reveal that, in terms of Root-Mean-Square-Error values, both methods can obtain reasonable estimates of posterior error modes in the 4D-Var optimization problem. Moreover, the accuracies of the proposed filter implementations can be improved as the ensemble sizes are increased.