Natural disasters caused by heavy rainfall often cost huge loss of life and property. To avoid it, the task of precipitation nowcasting is imminent. To solve the problem, increasingly deep learning methods are proposed to forecast future radar echo images and then the predicted maps have converted the distribution of rainfall. The prevailing spatiotemporal sequence prediction methods apply ConvRNN structure which combines the Convolution and Recurrent neural network. Although improvements based on ConvRNN achieve remarkable success, these methods ignore capturing both local and global spatial features simultaneously, which degrades the nowcasting in the region of heavy rainfall. To address this issue, we proposed the Region Attention Block (RAB) and embed it into ConvRNN to enhance the forecast in the area with strong rainfall. Besides, the ConvRNN models are hard to memory longer history representations with limited parameters. Considering it, we propose Recall Attention Mechanism (RAM) to improve the prediction. By preserving longer temporal information, RAM contributes to the forecasting, especially in the middle rainfall intensity. The experiments show that the proposed model Region Attention Predictive Network (RAP-Net) has outperformed the state-of-art method.
翻译:暴雨造成的自然灾害往往造成巨大的生命和财产损失。为了避免这种情况,降水量的当前任务迫在眉睫。为了解决这个问题,建议采用越来越深的学习方法来预测未来的雷达回声图像,然后预测的地图改变了降雨量的分布。流行的时空序列预测方法采用Convtoto-时间序列结构,将革命和经常性神经网络结合起来。虽然基于ConvRNN的改进取得了显著的成功,但这些方法忽略了同时捕捉当地和全球空间特征,这降低了降水量密集地区现在播种的地貌特征。为了解决这一问题,我们建议区域注意区(RAB)并将其嵌入ConvRNNN,以强劲降雨量加强该地区的预报。此外,ConvRNNN模型很难用有限的参数来记忆更长的历史图示。我们建议回召注意机制(RAM)来改进预测。通过保存更长的时间信息,RAM有助于预报,特别是在中等降雨密集度的地区。实验表明,拟议的区域注意预测网模型(RAP-Net)已经超越了状态方法。