Trajectory prediction is an important task to support safe and intelligent behaviours in autonomous systems. Many advanced approaches have been proposed over the years with improved spatial and temporal feature extraction. However, human behaviour is naturally multimodal and uncertain: given the past trajectory and surrounding environment information, an agent can have multiple plausible trajectories in the future. To tackle this problem, an essential task named multimodal trajectory prediction (MTP) has recently been studied, which aims to generate a diverse, acceptable and explainable distribution of future predictions for each agent. In this paper, we present the first survey for MTP with our unique taxonomies and comprehensive analysis of frameworks, datasets and evaluation metrics. In addition, we discuss multiple future directions that can help researchers develop novel multimodal trajectory prediction systems.
翻译:轨迹预测是支持自主系统安全和智能行为的一项重要任务。多年来,随着时间和空间特征的改进,提出了许多先进的方法。然而,人类的行为自然是多式的,而且不确定:鉴于以往的轨迹和周围环境信息,代理人今后可以有多种可信的轨迹。为了解决这一问题,最近研究了一项名为多式联运轨迹预测(MTP)的重要任务,其目的是为每个代理人提供多样化、可接受和可解释的未来预测分布。在本文中,我们用我们独特的分类和对框架、数据集和评价指标的全面分析来介绍中期计划的第一次调查。此外,我们讨论了有助于研究人员开发新的多式联运轨迹预测系统的多种未来方向。