While the use of spatial agent-based and individual-based models has flourished across many scientific disciplines, the complexities these models generate are often difficult to manage and quantify. This research reduces population-driven, spatial modeling of individuals to the simplest configurations and parameters: an equal resource opportunity landscape with equally capable individuals; and asks the question, "Will valid complex population and inequality dynamics emerge from this simple economic model?" Two foraging economies are modeled: subsistence and surplus. The resulting, emergent population dynamics are characterized by their sensitivities to agent and landscape parameters. The various steady and oscillating regimes of single-species population dynamics are generated by appropriate selection of model growth parameters. These emergent dynamics are shown to be consistent with the equation-based, continuum modeling of single-species populations in biology and ecology. The intrinsic growth rates, carry capacities, and delay parameters of these models are implied for these simple economies. Aggregate measures of individual distributions are used to understand the sensitivities to model parameters. New local measures are defined to describe complex behaviors driven by spatial effects, especially extinctions. This simple economic model is shown to generate significantly complex population and inequality dynamics. Model parameters generating the intrinsic growth rate have strong effects on these dynamics, including large variations in inequality. Significant inequality effects are shown to be caused by birth costs above and beyond their contribution to the intrinsic growth rate. The highest levels of inequality are found during the initial non-equilibrium period and are driven by factors different than those driving steady state inequality.
翻译:在许多科学学科中,使用基于空间代理和个人的模型已经兴起,但这些模型产生的复杂性往往难以管理和量化。这种研究减少了由人口驱动的、空间模型化的个人到最简单的配置和参数:由同样有能力的个人组成的平等资源机会前景;并提出了这样一个问题:“这些简单的经济模式意味着这些模式的内在增长率、承载能力和延迟参数。使用个体分布的综合计量法来理解模型参数的敏感性。新的地方指标用来描述由空间效应、特别是灭绝因素驱动的复杂行为。这种简单的经济模型可以产生非常复杂的初始人口和不平等程度。模型显示了这些内在变化的内在影响。模型显示的是这些不平等程度的内在影响。