Robust covariance estimation and explainable outlier detection for matrix-valued data

The minimum covariance determinant (MCD) estimator is a popular method for robustly estimating the mean and covariance of multivariate data. We extend the MCD to the setting where the observations are matrices rather than vectors and introduce the matrix minimum covariance determinant (MMCD) estimators for robust parameter estimation. These estimators hold equivariance properties, achieve a high breakdown point, and are consistent under elliptical matrix-variate distributions. We have also developed an efficient algorithm with convergence guarantees to compute the MMCD estimators. Using the MMCD estimators, we can compute robust Mahalanobis distances that can be used for outlier detection. Those distances can be decomposed into outlyingness contributions from each cell, row, or column of a matrix-variate observation using Shapley values, a concept for outlier explanation recently introduced in the multivariate setting. Simulations and examples reveal the excellent properties and usefulness of the robust estimators.