Exogenous heterogeneity, for example, in the form of instrumental variables can help us learn a system's underlying causal structure and predict the outcome of unseen intervention experiments. In this paper, we consider linear models in which the causal effect from covariates $X$ on a response $Y$ is sparse. We provide conditions under which the causal coefficient becomes identifiable from the observed distribution. These conditions can be satisfied even if the number of instruments is as small as the number of causal parents. We also develop graphical criteria under which identifiability holds with probability one if the edge coefficients are sampled randomly from a distribution that is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure and $Y$ is childless. As an estimator, we propose spaceIV and prove that it consistently estimates the causal effect if the model is identifiable and evaluate its performance on simulated data. If identifiability does not hold, we show that it may still be possible to recover a subset of the causal parents.
翻译:例如,以工具变量的形式,外异异质性,可以帮助我们了解一个系统背后的因果结构,并预测无形干预实验的结果。在本文中,我们考虑的线性模型是,对响应的因果效应由共差美元产生,但美元是很少的。我们提供了从观察到的分布中可辨别因果系数的条件。这些条件可以满足,即使仪器数量小于因果父母的数量。我们还制定了图形标准,根据这些标准,如果边缘系数从与Lebesgue测量绝对连续的分布中随机抽取,而$Y$是无子女。我们作为估计者,提出空间IV,并证明如果模型能够识别并评估其在模拟数据上的性能,它一贯地估计因果效应。如果识别性与因果父母的数量不同,我们表明仍然有可能收回因果父母的子。