Graph-Guided Network for Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Time Series

In many domains, including healthcare, biology, and climate science, time series are irregularly sampled with variable time between successive observations and different subsets of variables (sensors) are observed at different time points, even after alignment to start events. These data create multiple challenges for prevailing models that assume fully observed and fixed-length feature representations. To address these challenges, it is essential to understand the relationships between sensors and how they evolve over time. Here, we introduce RAINDROP, a graph-guided network for learning representations of irregularly sampled multivariate time series. RAINDROP represents every sample as a graph, where nodes indicate sensors and edges represent dependencies between them. RAINDROP models dependencies between sensors using neural message passing and temporal self-attention. It considers both inter-sensor relationships shared across samples and those unique to each sample that can vary with time, and it adaptively estimates misaligned observations based on nearby observations. We use RAINDROP to classify time series and interpret temporal dynamics of three healthcare and human activity datasets. RAINDROP outperforms state-of-the-art methods by up to 11.4% (absolute points in F1 score), including methods that deal with irregular sampling using fixed discretization and set functions, and even in challenging leave-sensor-out settings and setups that require generalizing to new patient groups.