In their fundamental paper on cubic variance functions, Letac and Mora (The Annals of Statistics,1990) presented a systematic, rigorous and comprehensive study of natural exponential families on the real line, their characterization through their variance functions and mean value parameterization. They presented a section that for some reason has been left unnoticed. This section deals with the construction of variance functions associated with natural exponential families of counting distributions on the set of nonnegative integers and allows to find the corresponding generating measures. As exponential dispersion models are based on natural exponential families, we introduce in this paper two new classes of exponential dispersion models based on their results. For these classes, which are associated with simple variance functions, we derive their mean value parameterization and their associated generating measures. We also prove that they have some desirable properties. Both classes are shown to be overdispersed and zero-inflated in ascending order, making them as competitive statistical models for those in use in both, statistical and actuarial modeling. To our best knowledge, the classes of counting distributions we present in this paper, have not been introduced or discussed before in the literature. To show that our classes can serve as competitive statistical models for those in use (e.g., Poisson, Negative binomial), we include a numerical example of real data. In this example, we compare the performance of our classes with relevant competitive models.
翻译:在关于立方差异功能的基本文件中,Letac和Mora(《统计年鉴》,1990年)对实际线上的自然指数型家庭进行了系统、严格和全面的研究,通过差异函数和平均值参数对自然指数型家庭进行了定性,其中一节出于某种原因没有被注意。本节涉及与自然指数型家庭相关的差异函数的构造,即计算非负数整数组的分布,并能够找到相应的生成量。由于指数分散模型以自然指数型家庭为基础,我们在本文件中引入了基于其结果的两种新的指数性分散模型类别。对于与简单的差异函数相关的这些类别,我们得出了它们的平均值参数及其相关的生成量度。我们还证明了它们具有某些可取的属性。这两个类别都显示它们过于分散,在升序中零膨胀,使它们成为统计和精算模型中使用的具有竞争力的统计模型。据我们所知,本文中列出的指数性分布的类别以前没有被引入或讨论过。对于这些类别来说,我们之间的平均值参数及其相关的生成措施。我们还证明它们具有某些可取的特性。两个类别都显示它们具有高度分散性,在上升的统计模型中可以用来作为我们所使用的数字模型。