Causal inference has numerous real-world applications in many domains, such as health care, marketing, political science, and online advertising. Treatment effect estimation, a fundamental problem in causal inference, has been extensively studied in statistics for decades. However, traditional treatment effect estimation methods may not well handle large-scale and high-dimensional heterogeneous data. In recent years, an emerging research direction has attracted increasing attention in the broad artificial intelligence field, which combines the advantages of traditional treatment effect estimation approaches (e.g., propensity score, matching, and reweighing) and advanced machine learning approaches (e.g., representation learning, adversarial learning, and graph neural networks). Although the advanced machine learning approaches have shown extraordinary performance in treatment effect estimation, it also comes with a lot of new topics and new research questions. In view of the latest research efforts in the causal inference field, we provide a comprehensive discussion of challenges and opportunities for the three core components of the treatment effect estimation task, i.e., treatment, covariates, and outcome. In addition, we showcase the promising research directions of this topic from multiple perspectives.
翻译:数十年来,统计中广泛研究了治疗效果估算,这是因果推断的一个根本问题,然而,传统治疗效果估算方法可能无法很好地处理大规模和高维的多元数据。近年来,正在形成的研究方向在广泛的人工智能领域引起越来越多的注意,这一领域结合了传统治疗效果估算方法(例如,偏差分、匹配和再平衡)和先进机器学习方法(例如,代表性学习、对抗性学习和图形神经网络)的优势。尽管先进的机器学习方法在治疗效果估算方面表现非常出色,但也出现了许多新的专题和新的研究问题。鉴于在因果关系估算领域的最新研究工作,我们全面讨论了治疗效果估算任务的三个核心组成部分(即,治疗、共变和结果)的挑战和机遇。此外,我们还从多个角度展示了这一专题有希望的研究方向。