We consider the problem of information aggregation in federated decision making, where a group of agents collaborate to infer the underlying state of nature without sharing their private data with the central processor or each other. We analyze the non-Bayesian social learning strategy in which agents incorporate their individual observations into their opinions (i.e., soft-decisions) with Bayes rule, and the central processor aggregates these opinions by arithmetic or geometric averaging. Building on our previous work, we establish that both pooling strategies result in asymptotic normality characterization of the system, which, for instance, can be utilized in order to give approximate expressions for the error probability. We verify the theoretical findings with simulations and compare both strategies.
翻译:我们考虑在联合决策中的信息汇总问题,即一组代理人在不与中央处理者或彼此分享其私人数据的情况下合作推断自然的基本状态;我们分析非巴伊西亚社会学习战略,即代理人将其个人意见纳入他们的意见(即软决定)与贝耶斯规则,中央处理员以算术或平均几何方式汇总这些意见;我们根据我们以前的工作,确定两种合并战略都会导致系统无药可治的正常特征,例如,可以利用该系统来给出误差概率的大致表达方式;我们用模拟和比较两种战略来核查理论结论。</s>