We present a methodology to robustly estimate the competitive equilibria (CE) of combinatorial markets under the assumption that buyers do not know their precise valuations for bundles of goods, but instead can only provide noisy estimates. We first show tight lower- and upper-bounds on the buyers' utility loss, and hence the set of CE, given a uniform approximation of one market by another. We then develop a learning framework for our setup, and present two probably-approximately-correct algorithms for learning CE, i.e., producing uniform approximations that preserve CE, with finite-sample guarantees. The first is a baseline that uses Hoeffding's inequality to produce a uniform approximation of buyers' valuations with high probability. The second leverages a connection between the first welfare theorem of economics and uniform approximations to adaptively prune value queries when it determines that they are provably not part of a CE. We experiment with our algorithms and find that the pruning algorithm achieves better estimates than the baseline with far fewer samples.
翻译:我们提出一种方法,根据买方不知道其对货物捆绑的准确估值,但只能提供噪音估计,对组合市场的竞争性平衡(CE)进行稳健估计。我们首先对买方的公用事业损失显示下限和上限,因此对一组CE进行严格估计,因为一个市场对另一个市场有一个统一的近似值。然后我们为我们的设置开发了一个学习框架,并为学习CE提出了两种可能大致正确的算法,即:为保存CE而制作统一的近似值,有一定的标本保证。第一种是使用Hoffding的不平等来生成买方估值统一近似率的基线,概率很高。第二套是利用经济学的第一个福利理论和统一近似值与适应性精准值查询之间的联系,当它确定它们可能不是CE的一部分时。我们用我们的算法进行实验,发现修算法比基线的估计数要好得多,样品要少得多。