By linking conceptual theories with observed data, generative models can support reasoning in complex situations. They have come to play a central role both within and beyond statistics, providing the basis for power analysis in molecular biology, theory building in particle physics, and resource allocation in epidemiology, for example. We introduce the probabilistic and computational concepts underlying modern generative models and then analyze how they can be used to inform experimental design, iterative model refinement, goodness-of-fit evaluation, and agent-based simulation. We emphasize a modular view of generative mechanisms and discuss how they can be flexibly recombined in new problem contexts. We provide practical illustrations throughout, and code for reproducing all examples is available at https://github.com/krisrs1128/generative_review. Finally, we observe how research in generative models is currently split across several islands of activity, and we highlight opportunities lying at disciplinary intersections.
翻译:通过将概念理论与观察到的数据联系起来,基因模型可以支持复杂情况下的推理,这些模型在统计中和统计之外都发挥了中心作用,为分子生物学、粒子物理学理论建设和流行病学资源分配方面的动力分析提供了基础。我们引入了现代基因模型所依据的概率和计算概念,然后分析了这些概念如何用于指导实验设计、迭代模型完善、良好评估以及代理模拟。我们强调基因机制的模块化观点,并讨论了如何在新的问题背景下灵活地重新组合这些机制。我们在整个过程中提供了实用的插图,所有实例的再生代码可在https://github.com/krisrs/1118/generative_review上查阅。最后,我们观察了基因模型研究目前如何在几个活动岛屿上分割,我们强调在学科交叉点上的机会。