An effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are indispensable for intelligent mobile systems (e.g. autonomous vehicles and social robots) to achieve safe and high-quality planning when they navigate in highly interactive and crowded scenarios. Due to the existence of frequent interactions and uncertainty in the scene evolution, it is desired for the prediction system to enable relational reasoning on different entities and provide a distribution of future trajectories for each agent. In this paper, we propose a generic generative neural system (called STG-DAT) for multi-agent trajectory prediction involving heterogeneous agents. The system takes a step forward to explicit interaction modeling by incorporating relational inductive biases with a dynamic graph representation and leverages both trajectory and scene context information. We also employ an efficient kinematic constraint layer applied to vehicle trajectory prediction. The constraint not only ensures physical feasibility but also enhances model performance. Moreover, the proposed prediction model can be easily adopted by multi-target tracking frameworks. The tracking accuracy proves to be improved by empirical results. The proposed system is evaluated on three public benchmark datasets for trajectory prediction, where the agents cover pedestrians, cyclists and on-road vehicles. The experimental results demonstrate that our model achieves better performance than various baseline approaches in terms of prediction and tracking accuracy.
翻译:智能移动系统(如自主车辆和社会机器人)在高度互动和拥挤的情景下航行时,为了实现安全和高质量的规划,必须有效地了解环境,并准确预测周围的动态障碍。由于现场演进中存在频繁的互动和不确定性,因此,人们希望预测系统能够对不同实体进行关联推理,为每个物剂提供未来轨迹的分布。在本文件中,我们提议为涉及不同物剂的多试剂轨迹预测建立一个通用的遗传神经系统(称为STG-DAT),以便实现明确的互动模型。该系统向前迈出了一步,通过采用动态图形显示的感应偏向,利用轨迹和场景背景信息来进行明确的互动模型。我们还采用了适用于车辆轨迹预测的高效动力制约层。这种制约不仅能确保实际可行性,而且能提高模型性能。此外,拟议的预测模型很容易被多目标跟踪框架采用。跟踪准确性证明通过经验结果得到改进。拟议系统在轨迹预测的三个公共基准数据集上进行了评估,即代理人覆盖行道、自行车、自行车学家和运载火箭的精确性跟踪方法。