The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate, belonging to an infinite-dimensional space. By using the first order optimality condition, we interpret these expectiles as solutions of a multidimensional nonlinear optimum problem. Then the inference is based on a minimization algorithm of gradient descent type, coupled with consistent kernel estimations of our key statistical quantities such as conditional quantiles, conditional tail index and conditional tail dependence functions. The method is valid for equivalently heavy-tailed marginals and under a multivariate regular variation condition on the underlying unknown random vector with arbitrary dependence structure. Our main result establishes the consistency in probability of the optimum approximated solution vectors with a speed rate. This allows us to estimate the global computational cost of the whole procedure according to the data sample size.
翻译:本文致力于半参数估计极端水平下的多元期望分位数。所考虑的多元风险度量也包括对属于无限维空间的函数协变量的可能条件。通过使用一阶最优性条件,我们将这些分位数解释为多维非线性最优问题的解。然后,推断基于梯度下降类型的最小化算法,与关键统计数量,如条件分位数、条件尾指数和条件尾依赖函数的一致核估计相结合。该方法适用于同等重尾的边缘分布以及具有任意相关结构的未知随机向量的多元正则变异条件。我们的主要结果建立了近似解向量的概率一致性,并给出了速率。这使我们能够估计整个过程的全局计算成本,该成本取决于数据样本的大小。