The two-alternative forced choice (2AFC) experimental method is popular in the visual perception literature, where practitioners aim to understand how human observers perceive distances within triplets made of a reference image and two distorted versions. In the past, this had been conducted in controlled environments, with triplets sharing images, so it was possible to rank the perceived quality. This ranking would then be used to evaluate perceptual distance models against the experimental data. Recently, crowd-sourced perceptual datasets have emerged, with no images shared between triplets, making ranking infeasible. Evaluating perceptual distance models using this data reduces the judgements on a triplet to a binary decision, namely, whether the distance model agrees with the human decision - which is suboptimal and prone to misleading conclusions. Instead, we statistically model the underlying decision-making process during 2AFC experiments using a binomial distribution. Having enough empirical data, we estimate a smooth and consistent distribution of the judgements on the reference-distorted distance plane, according to each distance model. By applying maximum likelihood, we estimate the parameter of the local binomial distribution, and a global measurement of the expected log-likelihood of the measured responses. We calculate meaningful and well-founded metrics for the distance model, beyond the mere prediction accuracy as percentage agreement, even with variable numbers of judgements per triplet -- key advantages over both classical and neural network methods.
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