Streamflow forecasts are critical to guide water resource management, mitigate drought and flood effects, and develop climate-smart infrastructure and industries. Many global regions, however, have limited streamflow observations to guide evidence-based management strategies. In this paper, we propose an attention-based domain adaptation streamflow forecaster for data-sparse regions. Our approach leverages the hydrological characteristics of a data-rich source domain to induce effective 24h lead-time streamflow prediction in a limited target domain. Specifically, we employ a deep-learning framework leveraging domain adaptation techniques to simultaneously train streamflow predictions and discern between both domains using an adversarial method. Experiments against baseline cross-domain forecasting models show improved performance for 24h lead-time streamflow forecasting.
翻译:流流预测对于指导水资源管理、减轻干旱和洪涝影响以及发展气候智能型基础设施和工业至关重要。然而,许多全球区域流流观测有限,以指导循证管理战略。在本文件中,我们提议为数据偏差区域提供关注的域适应流预测器。我们的方法利用数据丰富源域的水文特征,在一个有限的目标领域促成有效的24小时周期流预测。具体地说,我们采用深学习框架,利用领域适应技术,同时培训流流预测,并利用对抗性方法辨别两个领域。对基线跨域预测模型的实验表明24小时周期流预测的绩效有所改善。