SplineSketch: Even More Accurate Quantiles with Error Guarantees

Space-efficient estimation of quantiles in massive datasets is a fundamental problem with numerous applications in data monitoring and analysis. While theoretical research led to optimal algorithms, such as the Greenwald-Khanna algorithm or the KLL sketch, practitioners often use other sketches that perform significantly better in practice but lack theoretical guarantees. Most notably, the widely used t-digest has unbounded worst-case error. In this paper, we seek to get the best of both worlds. We present a new quantile summary, SplineSketch, for numeric data, offering near-optimal theoretical guarantees and outperforming t-digest by a factor of 2-20 on a range of synthetic and real-world datasets with non-skewed frequency distributions. To achieve such performance, we develop a novel approach that maintains a dynamic subdivision of the input range into buckets while fitting the input distribution using monotone cubic spline interpolation. The core challenge is implementing this method in a space-efficient manner while ensuring strong worst-case guarantees.