Deploying environmental measurement stations can be a costly and time consuming procedure, especially in regions which are remote or otherwise difficult to access, such as Antarctica. Therefore, it is crucial that sensors are placed as efficiently as possible, maximising the informativeness of their measurements. Previous approaches for identifying salient placement locations typically model the data with a Gaussian process (GP). However, designing a GP covariance which captures the complex behaviour of non-stationary spatiotemporal data is a difficult task. Further, the computational cost of these models make them challenging to scale to large environmental datasets. In this work, we explore using convolutional Gaussian neural processes (ConvGNPs) to address these issues. A ConvGNP is a meta-learning model which uses a neural network to parameterise a GP predictive. Our model is data-driven, flexible, efficient, and permits gridded or off-grid input data. Using simulated surface temperature fields over Antarctica as ground truth, we show that a ConvGNP substantially outperforms a non-stationary GP baseline in terms of predictive performance. We then use the ConvGNP in a temperature sensor placement toy experiment, yielding promising results.
翻译:部署环境测量台站可能是一项昂贵和耗时的程序,特别是在偏远或难以进入的南极洲等偏远地区。因此,至关重要的是,应尽可能高效地部署传感器,使其测量信息量最大化。以前为确定显著位置而采用的方法通常用高斯进程模拟数据。然而,设计一个GP变量来捕捉非静止空间数据的复杂行为是一项困难的任务。此外,这些模型的计算成本使它们难以向大型环境数据集扩展规模。在这项工作中,我们探索使用革命高斯神经系统(Conval Gossian Neal process)来解决这些问题。Convulation是一个元学习模型,使用神经网络来对GOP预测进行参数参数化。我们的模型是数据驱动、灵活、高效和网格化或网格外输入数据。使用南极洲模拟地表温度场作为地面事实,我们显示Convuld GNP在预测性能方面大大超出非静止的GP基线。我们随后使用有希望的温度感官测试结果。