Yang et al. (2016) proved that the symmetric random walk Metropolis--Hastings algorithm for Bayesian variable selection is rapidly mixing under mild high-dimensional assumptions. We propose a novel MCMC sampler using an informed proposal scheme, which we prove achieves a much faster mixing time that is independent of the number of covariates, under the same assumptions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first high-dimensional result which rigorously shows that the mixing rate of informed MCMC methods can be fast enough to offset the computational cost of local posterior evaluation. Motivated by the theoretical analysis of our sampler, we further propose a new approach called "two-stage drift condition" to studying convergence rates of Markov chains on general state spaces, which can be useful for obtaining tight complexity bounds in high-dimensional settings. The practical advantages of our algorithm are illustrated by both simulation studies and real data analysis.
翻译:Yang等人(2016年)证明,用于Bayesian变量选择的对称随机散射大都会-哈斯廷算法在温和高维假设下正在迅速混合。我们提议使用一个知情的建议方案来一个新的MCMC采样器,我们证明在相同的假设下,这种混合时间比共变数要快得多。据我们所知,这是第一个高维结果,它严格地表明,知情的MCMC方法的混合率可以足够快地抵消当地后方评估的计算成本。根据对我们的采样器的理论分析,我们进一步提议了一种名为“两阶段漂移状态”的新方法,以研究一般州空间的Markov链的趋同率,这对于在高维环境中获得紧凑的复杂界限是有用的。我们的算法的实际优势通过模拟研究和真实的数据分析来说明。