Integrating measures of replicability into literature search: Challenges and opportunities

Challenges to reproducibility and replicability have gained widespread attention over the past decade, driven by a number of large replication projects with lukewarm success rates. A nascent work has emerged developing algorithms to estimate, or predict, the replicability of published findings. The current study explores ways in which AI-enabled signals of confidence in research might be integrated into literature search. We interview 17 PhD researchers about their current processes for literature search and ask them to provide feedback on a prototype replicability estimation tool. Our findings suggest that information about replicability can support researchers throughout literature review and research design processes. However, explainability and interpretability of system outputs is critical, and potential drawbacks of AI-enabled confidence assessment need to be further studied before such tools could be widely accepted and deployed. We discuss implications for the design of technological tools to support scholarly activities and advance reproducibility and replicability.