In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in long time horizon. We first propose to estimate the volatility coefficient. For that, we introduce in our estimation procedure a truncation function that allows to take into account the jumps of the process and we estimate the volatility function on a linear subspace of L 2 (A) where A is a compact interval of R. We obtain a bound for the empirical risk of the volatility estimator and establish an oracle inequality for the adaptive estimator to measure the performance of the procedure. Then, we propose an estimator of a sum between the volatility and the jump coefficient modified with the conditional expectation of the intensity of the jumps. The idea behind this is to recover the jump function. We also establish a bound for the empirical risk for the non-adaptive estimator of this sum and an oracle inequality for the final adaptive estimator. We conduct a simulation study to measure the accuracy of our estimators in practice and we discuss the possibility of recovering the jump function from our estimation procedure.
翻译:在本文中,我们考虑由霍克斯进程驱动跳跃的单维扩散过程。我们有兴趣从长期的离散高频观测中估算挥发功能和跳动功能。我们首先提议估算挥发系数。为此,我们在估算程序中引入了抽出功能,以便考虑到该过程的跳动,并估算L 2 (A) 线性子空间的挥发功能,该L 2 (A) 线性小空间的A 是 R 的紧凑间隔。我们为挥发估测仪的经验风险打下定线。我们为适应性估测员设定了一个甲骨不平等点,以测量程序绩效。然后,我们建议对波动和根据对跳动强度的有条件期望而修改的跳动系数之间的总和进行估算。这是为了恢复跳动功能,我们还为这个非适应性估测算器的不适应性估量和最后适应性估测仪的悬殊性风险定了界限。我们进行了模拟研究,以测量我们跳动测算器的精确度,我们讨论了从跳动测算机的概率的可能性。