We propose an extension of the preferential attachment scheme by allowing the connecting probability to depend on time t. We estimate the parameters involved in the model by minimizing the expected squared difference between the number of vertices of degree one and its conditional expectation. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are also investigated when the parameters are time-varying by establishing the central limit theorem (CLT) of the number of vertices of degree one. We propose a new statistic to test whether the parameters have change points. We also offer some methods to estimate the number of change points and detect the locations of change points. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the performances of the above results.
翻译:我们建议延长优惠附加计划,允许关联概率取决于时间 t。我们通过尽可能缩小一级顶点数量及其有条件期望之间的预期正方差来估计模型所涉参数。当参数在时间上变化时,通过确定一级顶点的中央限值理论(CLT),对估计点的无症状特性也进行调查。我们建议进行新的统计,以检验参数是否有变化点。我们还提供了一些方法来估计变化点的数量并探测变化点的位置。还进行了模拟,以说明上述结果的绩效。