Neural Network (Deep Learning) is a modern model in Artificial Intelligence and it has been exploited in Survival Analysis. Although several improvements have been shown by previous works, training an excellent deep learning model requires a huge amount of data, which may not hold in practice. To address this challenge, we develop a Kullback-Leibler-based (KL) deep learning procedure to integrate external survival prediction models with newly collected time-to-event data. Time-dependent KL discrimination information is utilized to measure the discrepancy between the external and internal data. This is the first work considering using prior information to deal with short data problem in Survival Analysis for deep learning. Simulation and real data results show that the proposed model achieves better performance and higher robustness compared with previous works.
翻译:神经网络(深度学习)是人工智能领域的现代模型,已经被应用于生存分析中。虽然之前的工作已经显示出了一些改进,但是训练一个极好的深度学习模型需要大量的数据,这在实践中可能不成立。为了应对这一挑战,我们开发了一种基于KL散度的深度学习流程,将外部生存预测模型与新收集的时间至事件数据集成。时间依赖性的KL鉴别信息被利用来衡量外部和内部数据之间的差异。这是第一次考虑使用先前信息来处理深度学习中生存分析中的短数据问题。模拟和真实数据结果表明,与之前的工作相比,所提出的模型实现了更好的性能和更高的鲁棒性。