Understanding, modelling and predicting human risky decision-making is challenging due to intrinsic individual differences and irrationality. Fuzzy trace theory (FTT) is a powerful paradigm that explains human decision-making by incorporating gists, i.e., fuzzy representations of information which capture only its quintessential meaning. Inspired by Broniatowski and Reyna's FTT cognitive model, we propose a computational framework which combines the effects of the underlying semantics and sentiments on text-based decision-making. In particular, we introduce Category-2-Vector to learn categorical gists and categorical sentiments, and demonstrate how our computational model can be optimised to predict risky decision-making in groups and individuals.
翻译:人类风险决策的理解、建模和预测由于固有的个人差异和不合理性而具有挑战性。 模糊的追踪理论(FTT)是一个强有力的范例,它通过纳入格言来解释人类决策,即模糊的信息表述,只反映其基本含义。在Broniatowski和Reyna的FTT认知模型的启发下,我们提出了一个计算框架,将基本语义和情绪对基于文本的决策的影响结合起来。特别是,我们引入了第2类动词来学习绝对的格言和绝对的情绪,并展示如何将我们的计算模型选用于预测群体和个人的高风险决策。