Longitudinal processes in multiple domains are often theorized to be nonlinear, which poses unique statistical challenges. Empirical researchers often select a nonlinear longitudinal model by weighing how specific the model must be in terms of the nature of the nonlinearity, whether the model is computationally efficient, and whether the model provides interpretable coefficients. Latent basis growth models (LBGMs) are one method that can get around these tradeoffs: it does not require specification of any functional form; additionally, its estimation process is expeditious, and estimates are straightforward to interpret. We propose a novel specification for LBGMs that allows for (1) unequally-spaced study waves and (2) individual measurement occasions around each wave. We then extend LBGMs to explore multiple repeated outcomes because longitudinal processes rarely unfold in isolation. We present the proposed model by simulation studies and real-world data analyses. Our simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed model can provide unbiased and accurate estimates with target coverage probabilities of a 95% confidence interval for the parameters of interest. With the real-world analyses using longitudinal reading and mathematics scores, we demonstrate that the proposed parallel LBGM can capture the underlying developmental patterns of these two abilities and that the novel specification of LBGMs is helpful in joint development where longitudinal processes have different time structures. We also provide the corresponding code for the proposed model.
翻译:在多个领域,纵向过程往往被假定为非线性,这带来了独特的统计挑战。经验研究人员往往选择非线性纵向模型,通过权衡模型在非线性性质方面的具体特点、模型是否计算效率,以及模型是否提供可解释的系数。隐性基础增长模型(LBGMs)是能够绕过这些取舍的一种方法:它不需要任何功能形式的规格;另外,它的估算过程是快速的,而且估算是直截了当的解释。我们为LBGMs提出了一个新的规格,允许(1) 空间间研究波和(2) 围绕每一波进行单独的测量。我们随后扩展LBGMs,以探索多次重复的结果,因为纵向过程很少单独展开。我们通过模拟研究和真实世界数据分析来介绍拟议的模型。我们的模拟研究表明,拟议的模型可以提供公正和准确的估算,目标范围为感兴趣的参数95%的置信度间距。我们提出了一个新的规格,用纵向读数和数学评分来进行真实世界的分析,我们证明拟议的LBGMs(LBGGM) 的平行模型具有有用的长期发展模式,我们还可以为这些不同的发展模式提供。