The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the voting public about select candidates, for example, through misinformation. We present a formal model of the impact of perception manipulation on election outcomes in the framework of spatial voting theory, in which the preferences of voters over candidates are generated based on their relative distance in the space of issues. We show that controlling elections in this model is, in general, NP-hard, whether issues are binary or real-valued. However, we demonstrate that critical to intractability is the diversity of opinions on issues exhibited by the voting public. When voter views lack diversity, and we can instead group them into a small number of categories -- for example, as a result of political polarization -- the election control problem can be solved in polynomial time in the number of issues and candidates for arbitrary scoring rules.
翻译:选举的完整性是民主制度的核心。然而,许多恶意行为者都渴望影响选举结果,以获得财政或政治利益。达到这一目的的一个共同手段是操纵投票公众对选定候选人的看法,例如通过错误信息。我们提出了在空间投票理论框架内操纵选举结果的看法对选举结果的影响的正式模式,在空间投票理论框架内,选民对候选人的偏好是根据其在问题空间中的相对距离产生的。我们表明,这种模式对选举的控制一般是硬的,无论是二进制还是实际估价的问题。然而,我们证明,吸引关键在于投票公众对问题所表现的观点的多样性。当选民意见缺乏多样性时,我们可以把它们分为少数类别 -- -- 例如,由于政治两极化的结果 -- -- 选举控制问题控制问题可以在多时的时间内解决,在问题和任意评分规则的候选人中解决。