Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is a form of link-tracing sampling, a sampling technique used for `hard-to-reach' populations that aims to leverage individuals' social relationships to reach potential participants. While the methodological focus has been restricted to the estimation of population proportions, there is a growing interest in the estimation of uncertainty for RDS as recent findings suggest that most variance estimators underestimate variability. Recently, Baraff et al. (2016) proposed the \textit{tree bootstrap} method based on resampling the RDS recruitment tree, and empirically showed that this method outperforms current bootstrap methods. However, some findings suggest that the tree bootstrap (severely) overestimates uncertainty. In this paper, we propose the \textit{neighbourhood} bootstrap method for quantifiying uncertainty in RDS. We prove the consistency of our method under some conditions and investigate its finite sample performance, through a simulation study, under realistic RDS sampling assumptions.
翻译:调查对象-Driven抽样(RDS)是一种链接采集抽样(RDS)形式,一种用于“难以接触”人口的一种抽样技术,旨在利用个人的社会关系接触潜在的参与者。虽然方法重点仅限于人口比例估计,但最近的调查结果显示,大多数估计差异者低估了差异的变异性,因此对RDS不确定性的估计越来越感兴趣。最近,Baraff等人(RDS)在重新采样RDS招聘树的基础上提议了\textit{tree botstrats}方法,并用经验显示,这种方法比目前靴子捕法要好。然而,一些调查结果表明,树靴(严重)高估了不确定性。在本文件中,我们提议采用“textit{neghourhood} 靴杆”方法来消化RDS不确定性。我们证明,在某些条件下,我们的方法是一致的,并通过模拟研究,在现实的RDS抽样假设下,调查其有限的样品性表现。