The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) approach is commonly used in propensity score analysis to infer causal effects in regression models. Due to oversized IPTW weights and errors associated with propensity score estimation, the IPTW approach can underestimate the standard error of causal effect. To remediate this, bootstrap standard errors have been recommended to replace the IPTW standard error, but the ordinary bootstrap (OB) procedure might still result in underestimation of the standard error because of its inefficient sampling algorithm and un-stabilized weights. In this paper, we develop a generalized bootstrap (GB) procedure for estimating the standard error of the IPTW approach. Compared with the OB procedure, the GB procedure has much lower risk of underestimating the standard error and is more efficient for both point and standard error estimates. The GB procedure also has smaller risk of standard error underestimation than the ordinary bootstrap procedure with trimmed weights, with comparable efficiencies. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the GB procedure via a simulation study and a dataset from the National Educational Longitudinal Study-1988 (NELS-88).
翻译:处理权重(IPTW)法的反概率是处理权重(IPTW)法的常识分析,以推断回归模型的因果关系。由于IPTW的权重过大,加上与倾向性分数估计有关的差错,IPTW法可以低估因果关系效应的标准错误。为此,建议用靴套标准差来取代IPTW标准差错,但普通靴套(OB)程序仍可能导致低估标准差错,因为其取样算法效率低和不稳定重量。在本文件中,我们为估计IPTW方法的标准差错制定了一个通用的靴套(GB)程序。与OB程序相比,GB程序对低估标准差错的风险要低得多,而且对于点和标准差错估计更有效。GB程序对标准差的低估风险也小于普通靴套程序(三毛重,且具有可比效率)。我们通过模拟研究和1988年国家教育纵向研究(NELS-88)的数据集,展示了GB程序的有效性。