Virtual flow metering (VFM) is a cost-effective and non-intrusive technology for inferring multiphase flow rates in petroleum assets. Inferences about flow rates are fundamental to decision support systems that operators extensively rely on. Data-driven VFM, where mechanistic models are replaced with machine learning models, has recently gained attention due to its promise of lower maintenance costs. While excellent performances in small sample studies have been reported in the literature, there is still considerable doubt about the robustness of data-driven VFM. In this paper, we propose a new multi-task learning (MTL) architecture for data-driven VFM. Our method differs from previous methods in that it enables learning across oil and gas wells. We study the method by modeling 55 wells from four petroleum assets and compare the results with two single-task baseline models. Our findings show that MTL improves robustness over single-task methods, without sacrificing performance. MTL yields a 25-50% error reduction on average for the assets where single-task architectures are struggling.
翻译:虚拟流量计量(VFM)是计算石油资产多阶段流动率的一种成本效益高的非侵入性技术。关于流动率的推论对于操作者广泛依赖的决策支持系统至关重要。数据驱动的VFM(机械模型被机械学习模型取代)最近因其维护成本较低而引起注意。虽然文献中报告了小型抽样研究的出色表现,但对数据驱动的VFM的稳健性仍有相当大的怀疑。在本文中,我们提出了数据驱动的VFM(MTL)新的多任务学习架构。我们的方法不同于以往的方法,即它能够跨越石油和天然气井进行学习。我们通过建模55井的方法,从4个石油资产中研究5井,并将结果与两个单一任务基线模型进行比较。我们的调查结果显示,MTL提高了单任务方法的稳健性,同时又不牺牲了业绩。MTL(MTL)使单任务结构挣扎的资产的平均误差减少25-50%。